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Mortgage interest rates in February 2026: trends and forecasts in France

27/01/2026

Should you buy now with mortgage rates in February 2026 in France? Is it better to wait for a drop in mortgage borrowing rates or secure your project today?

In this detailed article, discover mortgage interest rates in France in February 2026 as well as our forecasts for the coming months.
We explain the impact on borrowing capacity, monthly payments and total cost.
Finally, this article provides practical advice to help you successfully finance and complete your real estate purchase project.
For personalized support, contact your local Capifrance real estate advisor.

Mortgage rates for a loan in February 2026: best rates and average rates by loan duration

In February 2026, market barometers provide clear benchmarks. The best mortgage rates in February 2026 are 2.64% over 10 years, 2.92% over 15 years, 3.00% over 20 years and 3.10% over 25 years. These levels correspond to very strong borrower profiles. Source: CAFPI and market barometers.

Average mortgage rates in February 2026 stand around 2.96% over 10 years, 3.13% over 15 years, 3.26% over 20 years and 3.35% over 25 years. The gap between best rates and average rates highlights the importance of a strong application file.

The February 2026 mortgage rate directly influences monthly payments. It also affects borrowing capacity and the total cost of the loan. The lower the rate, the lower the monthly payment or the higher the purchasing power.

Examples excluding insurance and rounding: for €200,000 over 20 years, an offer at 2.96% results in a monthly payment of about €1,105. At 3.26%, the payment is close to €1,137. The monthly difference is moderate, but the cumulative extra cost remains significant over time.

APR (TAEG) remains the benchmark for comparing the true cost. It includes the nominal rate, borrower insurance, application fees and guarantees. Always compare APR between offers.

Banks currently favor fixed-rate loans. Fixed rates secure the budget by avoiding future fluctuations. Nevertheless, the market average rate remains the basis for negotiation.

To obtain the best mortgage rate, strengthen your down payment and the quality of your application. Stabilize your income and limit your debt ratio. Using a broker can help capture rate discounts.

Presentation of the best mortgage rates in February 2026

Loan duration | Mortgage rate
10 years | 2.64%
15 years | 2.92%
20 years | 3.00%
25 years | 3.10%

The best mortgage rates in February 2026 reported by barometers are: 2.64% (10 years), 2.92% (15 years), 3.00% (20 years) and 3.10% (25 years). These rates apply to so-called “excellent” profiles.

An exemplary profile has a substantial down payment, professional stability and a clean banking history. Banks reward these guarantees with discounts.

Numerical example: for €300,000 over 20 years, a rate of 3.00% results in a monthly payment (excluding insurance) of about €1,663. At the average rate of 3.26%, the payment is around €1,704. Annual savings can reach several hundred euros.

These low rates improve purchasing power. They allow buyers to increase surface area or purchase price for the same monthly payment. Using a broker often speeds up access to the best conditions.

Average market rates and their impact

Loan duration | Mortgage borrowing rate
10 years | 2.96%
15 years | 3.13%
20 years | 3.26%
25 years | 3.35%

Average market rates in February 2026 reflect the majority of applications. They show recent stabilization after strong movements in 2022–2024.

For households, these rates determine actual borrowing capacity. Example: with €4,500 in monthly net income and a 35% debt ratio, you can borrow about €296,000 over 20 years at 3.26%. This benchmark helps define a realistic budget.

The 10-year OAT and central bank rates remain influential variables. The OAT determines banks’ refinancing costs. Its movements often lead to adjustments in bank rate grids.

Comparing offers only on nominal rates is insufficient. APR reveals the true cost. Also check insurance conditions and additional fees.

In summary, increasing the down payment and strengthening the application remain the most effective ways to obtain a better rate. A local advisor combined with a broker optimizes your chances.

Evolution of the best mortgage rates in France: 6-month, 1-year and 3-year analysis

Month | 10 years | 15 years | 20 years | 25 years

January 2025 | 3.00% | 3.25% | 3.31% | 3.40%
February 2025 | 2.99% | 3.16% | 3.24% | 3.32%
March 2025 | 2.80% | 2.90% | 2.89% | 2.99%
April 2025 | 2.65% | 2.75% | 2.89% | 2.99%
May 2025 | 2.79% | 2.85% | 2.90% | 3.00%
June 2025 | 2.74% | 2.85% | 2.95% | 3.05%
July 2025 | 2.90% | 2.85% | 2.95% | 3.05%
August 2025 | 2.73% | 2.81% | 2.92% | 3.05%
September 2025 | 2.79% | 2.85% | 2.94% | 3.06%
October 2025 | 2.69% | 2.86% | 2.99% | 3.05%
November 2025 | 2.69% | 2.86% | 2.99% | 3.05%
December 2025 | 2.70% | 2.85% | 2.99% | 3.10%
January 2026 | 2.64% | 2.92% | 3.00% | 3.10%
February 2026 | 2.64% | 2.92% | 3.00% | 3.10%

The analysis from late 2023 to February 2026 shows three phases:
– a strong rise linked to inflation and policy rates,
– a gradual easing in 2024–2025,
– stabilization at the end of 2025 and beginning of 2026.

Over 6 months, variations were limited. Over 1 year, the average decline improved purchasing power. Over 3 years, the trend remains mixed.

Movements mainly result from changes in the 10-year OAT and ECB decisions. The usury rate also influences credit production.

Geopolitical context and global conditions add uncertainty. External shocks can affect OAT and risk premiums, which are then reflected in mortgage rates.

Practical consequence: monitor banking conditions and optimize your application to reduce the risk of future increases.

Analysis of factors influencing mortgage rate trends in France

Several factors shape mortgage rates. Inflation remains central. If inflation persists, the ECB tends to maintain or raise its policy rates.

ECB policy rates influence banks’ liquidity costs. Higher rates increase refinancing costs and lead banks to adjust margins.

The 10-year OAT is the benchmark for long-term financing costs. Its rise often results in higher average mortgage rates.

Regulatory decisions, especially the usury rate, shape credit access. While protecting borrowers, this framework limits banks’ ability to offer loans.

Finally, competition between banks and commercial strategies matter. Some reduce margins to gain market share, while others stabilize margins depending on risk appetite.

For borrowers, improving the profile remains decisive: strong down payment, stable income and low debt ratio.

Rate comparison over 6 months, 1 year and 3 years

Recent stability helped buyers prepare their projects. Over 1 year, the decline increased borrowing capacity. Over 3 years, purchasing power has clearly improved.

Example: with a target monthly payment of €1,200, a rate of 3.35% (25 years) allows borrowing about €235,000. At 3.10%, nearly €245,000. The difference affects the surface area purchased.

Even small changes of 0.2 to 0.4 points significantly affect purchasing power. For investors, these gaps directly affect net returns.

Practical conclusion: monitor trends and adjust down payment or duration accordingly.

Forecasts and trends for mortgage rates in 2026

Predicting rates with certainty is impossible. We present three plausible scenarios for 2026 based on inflation, ECB policy and bond markets.

These scenarios aim to help you choose an appropriate strategy. Probabilities are indicative and non-contractual.

Scenario 1: prolonged stability

Hypothesis: inflation remains under control, ECB maintains pause, OAT fluctuates without clear trend.
Consequence: rates remain near January–February 2026 levels.
Advice: if your file is ready, proceed and lock in your rate.

Scenario 2: slight decrease

Hypothesis: inflation falls faster than expected, ECB becomes accommodative, OAT declines by 0.10 to 0.40 points.
Consequence: rates could fall by 0.10 to 0.40 points.
Advice: monitor with your broker and assess waiting risk.

Scenario 3: moderate increase

Hypothesis: inflation persists or tensions rise, OAT increases, banks tighten margins.
Consequence: rates could rise by +0.20 to +0.50 points.
Advice: secure a fixed rate or increase down payment / shorten duration.

Practical advice for buyers in February 2026

Calculate your borrowing capacity, strengthen your down payment, prepare a complete file, compare APR, use brokers and advisors, and anticipate additional costs.

Optimizing your borrower profile

Increase your down payment, stabilize income, reduce debt, manage accounts carefully, and use insurance delegation (Lemoine law).

Using a broker and comparing offers

Brokers negotiate discounts and compare all cost components.
Combining Capifrance advisors and brokers maximizes success.

Advice for sellers

Current rates support demand. Selling now can secure favorable financing for a new purchase.
Work with a Capifrance advisor to estimate, price and coordinate transactions.

Special cases and best practices

Different segments (new builds, life annuities, luxury, rental, commercial) require tailored financing strategies. Always simulate and compare APR.

Why choose a local Capifrance advisor

Local expertise, full support, coordination with brokers and national buyer network.

Conclusion

In February 2026, best rates range from 2.64% to 3.10%.
Three scenarios are plausible for 2026: stability, slight decline or moderate rise.
Even small variations significantly affect monthly payments and total cost.
Contact your local Capifrance advisor to secure and optimize your project.

FAQ

What is the current mortgage rate in February 2026?
Average rates are around 2.96% (10 years), 3.13% (15 years), 3.26% (20 years) and 3.35% (25 years).

When should you renegotiate your mortgage rate?
When the gap reaches 0.7 to 1 point and profitability after fees is positive.

What were mortgage rates in 2024?
Generally above 3.70% after inflation-driven increases.

What were mortgage rates in 2025?
Rates gradually declined, ending near 3.11–3.14%.

What is the 10-year mortgage rate in February 2026?
Average around 2.96%, best offers near 2.64%.

15-year rate?
Average 3.13%, best offers from 2.92%.

20-year rate?
Average 3.26%, best offers near 3.00%.

25-year rate?
Average 3.35%, best offers around 3.10%.



Author :


Frédéric Rémy – Director of Commercial Performance
A real estate professional for several years within the Capifrance network, I would like to share with you some essential advice to help you succeed in your real estate project with the support of our advisors.

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